Romania 33%Draw 27%Wales 40%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.23
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultWales to win ✗40% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Romania vs Wales: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Romania welcome Wales to Stadionul Steaua for a Friendlies fixture on Saturday 6 June (18:45 WAT).
Current form
Romania, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Georgia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Romania 1.1 xG, Wales 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Romania 33%, draw 27%, Wales 40%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Romania 1–1 Wales. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Romania33%fair 3.04 · @2.68
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.15
Wales40%fair 2.49 · @2.64
2.30Expected goals
1.06Romania xG
1.23Wales xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Romania 1.1 – 1.2 Wales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Romania
Wales
Attack vs Friendlies average
-3%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.12
1.35
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wales to win✗
40%
2.49
2.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.91
Draw no bet
Wales (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Romania +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Wales to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wales / FT Wales✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
Romania – last 3
DLL
2 Jun
@ Georgia
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Slovakia
0–2
L
26 Mar
@ Türkiye
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Wales – last 2
DD
2 Jun
vs Ghana
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Northern Ireland
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Romania and Wales.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Romania vs Wales?
On our numbers Romania have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Wales 40%.
How many goals will there be in Romania vs Wales?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Romania vs Wales?
Our predicted score is Romania 1–1 Wales, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Romania vs Wales?
Romania vs Wales (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Steaua.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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