New Mexico United 47%Draw 23%Phoenix Rising 30%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.20
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 7 June: New Mexico United v Phoenix Rising in the USL League One Cup, played at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. In the table, New Mexico United are 13th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Phoenix Rising are 35th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hartford Athletic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sacramento Republic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.8 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 47%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 30%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: New Mexico United to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.50
Phoenix Rising30%fair 3.31 · @2.70
3.01Expected goals
1.80New Mexico United xG
1.20Phoenix Rising xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.8 – 1.2 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Phoenix Rising 30%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
