Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Louisville City v Lexington: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Lynn Family Stadium

Louisville City

WDDWD
4–2
FT

Lexington

WDWWL
Louisville City 51%Draw 22%Lexington 26% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.40
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✓51% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

Louisville City vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Louisville City welcome Lexington to Lynn Family Stadium for a USL League One Cup fixture on Sunday 12 July (01:00 WAT). In the table, Louisville City are 1st, leading the league, on 12 points after 4 matches; Lexington are 19th (upper half) with 6.

Current form

Louisville City, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hartford Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lexington, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Louisville City.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Lexington 0–2 Louisville City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Louisville City 2 wins, Lexington 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 1.9 xG, Lexington 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 51%, draw 22%, Lexington 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 1–1 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Louisville City51%fair 1.95 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.80
Lexington26%fair 3.78 · @3.65
3.31Expected goals
1.91Louisville City xG
1.40Lexington xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Louisville City 1.9 – 1.4 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✓51%1.951.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.48
Draw no betLouisville City (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapLexington +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.691.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.311.22
First team to scoreLouisville City to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗31%3.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

Louisville City – last 6

WDDWDL
5 Julvs Hartford Athletic1–0W
20 Jun@ Detroit City0–0D
14 Junvs Brooklyn2–2D
11 Jun@ Phoenix Rising2–0W
4 Jun@ Birmingham Legion1–1D
31 Mayvs Tampa Bay Rowdies0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Lexington – last 6

WDWWLW
4 Jul@ Tampa Bay Rowdies4–1W
21 Junvs Indy Eleven0–0D
14 Junvs San Antonio2–0W
31 May@ El Paso Locomotive4–1W
24 May@ Indy Eleven1–3L
9 Mayvs Monterey Bay3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Lexington v Louisville City0–2
7 Mar 2026Lexington v Louisville City1–2
Louisville City vs Lexington head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

League hub
FT Hartford Athletic2 Westchester SC1 166%1.28X20%5.00214%8.25 2.2–1.1xG 1Hartford Athletic to win 66%@1.28 ✓
FT Portland Hearts of Pine1 NY Cosmos1 Pens 4–2 157%1.62X20%4.20223%4.00 2.3–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.42 ✗
FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds2 Loudoun United0 153%1.80X26%3.65221%3.70 1.6–0.9xG 1XPittsburgh Riverhounds or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Charleston Battery2 Charlotte Independence2 Pens 2–4 157%1.57X22%3.95221%4.80 2.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.55 ✓
FT Tampa Bay Rowdies2 Naples0 168%1.25X19%5.20213%9.20 2.2–0.8xG 1Tampa Bay Rowdies to win 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Sarasota Paradise0 Miami FC5 131%3.55X20%3.75249%1.80 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.55 ✗
FT Greenville Triumph1 Richmond Kickers2 153%1.80X23%3.65224%3.65 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Fort Wayne1 Detroit City2 121%4.20X25%4.10254%1.62 1.1–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Lexington?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Louisville City vs Lexington?

On our numbers Louisville City have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lexington 26%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Lexington?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Lexington?

Our predicted score is Louisville City 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Louisville City vs Lexington?

Louisville City vs Lexington (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.