El Paso Locomotive v New Mexico United: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Southwest University Park

New Mexico United

WDWDW

El Paso Locomotive 42%Draw 24%New Mexico United 33% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.42

65%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗42% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

New Mexico United travel to face El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 12 July in the USL League One Cup, with Southwest University Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 20th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; New Mexico United are 13th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Las Vegas Lights, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

New Mexico United, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oakland Roots, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours New Mexico United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for El Paso Locomotive.

Head to head

When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended New Mexico United 2–2 El Paso Locomotive. The last 2 head-to-heads: El Paso Locomotive 1 win, New Mexico United 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.5 xG, New Mexico United 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 42%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

El Paso Locomotive42%fair 2.36 · @2.10

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60

New Mexico United33%fair 2.99 · @2.88

2.95Expected goals

1.53El Paso Locomotive xG

1.42New Mexico United xG

63%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

0–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.5 – 1.4 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	El Paso Locomotive to win ✗	42%	2.36	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.60	1.50
Draw no bet	El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	New Mexico United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
First team to score	El Paso Locomotive to score first ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive ✗	24%	4.21	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.49	–

Recent results

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WLDDLL

5 Jul	@ Las Vegas Lights	2–1	W
21 Jun	@ Monterey Bay	0–1	L
14 Jun	vs Phoenix Rising	1–1	D
11 Jun	@ Detroit City	1–1	D
7 Jun	@ Colorado Springs	1–2	L
31 May	vs Lexington	1–4	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

New Mexico United – last 6

WDWDWD

5 Jul	vs Oakland Roots	2–1	W
2 Jul	vs Atlante FC	3–3	D
21 Jun	@ Sacramento Republic	1–0	W
14 Jun	vs Orange County SC	1–1	D
7 Jun	vs Phoenix Rising	4–0	W
31 May	@ Hartford Athletic	0–0	D

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 May 2026	New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive	2–2
2 Apr 2026	New Mexico United v El Paso Locomotive	0–4

El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Louisville City	4	4	0	+9	12
2	Colorado Springs	4	4	0	+9	12
3	Tampa Bay Rowdies	4	4	0	+9	12
4	San Antonio	4	4	0	+5	12
5	Charlotte Independence	4	4	0	+4	12
6	Miami FC	4	3	1	+6	9
7	Charleston Battery	4	3	1	+5	9
8	Birmingham Legion	4	3	1	+5	9
9	Hartford Athletic	4	3	1	+5	9
10	Rhode Island	4	3	1	+4	9
11	Sacramento Republic	4	3	1	+4	9
12	Boise	4	3	1	+3	9
13	New Mexico United	4	3	1	+3	9
14	Indy Eleven	4	3	1	+3	9
15	One Knoxville	4	3	1	+2	9
16	Spokane Velocity	4	3	1	0	9
17	Brooklyn	4	2	2	+4	6
18	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4	2	2	+3	6
19	Lexington	4	2	2	0	6
20	El Paso Locomotive	4	2	2	0	6
21	Detroit City	4	2	2	0	6
22	Alta	4	2	2	-1	6
23	Union Omaha	4	2	2	-2	6
24	Portland Hearts of Pine	4	2	2	-3	6
25	Monterey Bay	4	1	3	-2	3
26	Oakland Roots	4	1	3	-2	3
27	Sporting JAX	4	1	3	-2	3
28	FC Tulsa	4	1	3	-3	3
29	Greenville Triumph	4	1	3	-3	3
30	Las Vegas Lights	4	1	3	-3	3
31	Loudoun United	4	1	3	-3	3
32	Forward Madison	4	1	3	-4	3
33	Westchester SC	4	1	3	-4	3
34	Corpus Christi	4	1	3	-4	3
35	Phoenix Rising	4	1	3	-5	3
36	NY Cosmos	4	1	3	-6	3
37	Naples	4	1	3	-6	3
38	Richmond Kickers	4	1	3	-6	3
39	Sarasota Paradise	4	1	3	-7	3
40	Chattanooga Red Wolves	4	0	4	-5	0
41	Fort Wayne	4	0	4	-6	0
42	Orange County SC	4	0	4	-6	0

More USL League One Cup predictions

League hub

Hartford Athletic2

Westchester SC1 166%1.28X20%5.00214%8.25 2.2–1.1xG 1Hartford Athletic to win 66%@1.28 ✓

Portland Hearts of Pine1

NY Cosmos1 Pens 4–2 157%1.62X20%4.20223%4.00 2.3–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.42 ✗

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2

Loudoun United0 153%1.80X26%3.65221%3.70 1.6–0.9xG 1XPittsburgh Riverhounds or draw 79%@1.20 ✓

Charleston Battery2

Charlotte Independence2 Pens 2–4 157%1.57X22%3.95221%4.80 2.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.55 ✓

Tampa Bay Rowdies2

Naples0 168%1.25X19%5.20213%9.20 2.2–0.8xG 1Tampa Bay Rowdies to win 68%@1.25 ✓

Sarasota Paradise0

Miami FC5 131%3.55X20%3.75249%1.80 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.55 ✗

Greenville Triumph1

Richmond Kickers2 153%1.80X23%3.65224%3.65 1.7–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Fort Wayne1

Detroit City2 121%4.20X25%4.10254%1.62 1.1–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and New Mexico United 33%.

How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?

El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.