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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterey Bay v Las Vegas Lights: numbers & prediction

USL League One Cup · USA · Cardinale Stadium
2–3
FT
Monterey Bay 41%Draw 24%Las Vegas Lights 35% Expected goals 1.57 – 1.45
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterey Bay to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Monterey Bay welcome Las Vegas Lights to Cardinale Stadium for a USL League One Cup fixture on Sunday 12 July (03:00 WAT). In the table, Monterey Bay are 25th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 30th (lower half) with 3. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Monterey Bay, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Antonio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Las Vegas Lights, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to El Paso Locomotive, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monterey Bay, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Las Vegas Lights.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Las Vegas Lights 1–0 Monterey Bay.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.6 xG, Las Vegas Lights 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 41%, draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterey Bay41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.55
Las Vegas Lights35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
3.02Expected goals
1.57Monterey Bay xG
1.45Las Vegas Lights xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.6 – 1.5 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterey Bay to win ✗41%2.432.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.50
Draw no betMonterey Bay (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapLas Vegas Lights +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.271.22
First team to scoreMonterey Bay to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterey Bay / FT Monterey Bay ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

Monterey Bay – last 6

DWLWWW
5 Jul@ San Antonio0–0D
21 Junvs El Paso Locomotive1–0W
18 Jun@ FC Tulsa0–2L
11 Junvs Sporting JAX2–1W
31 Mayvs Loudoun United4–1W
24 Mayvs Birmingham Legion2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Las Vegas Lights – last 6

LLWLDW
5 Julvs El Paso Locomotive1–2L
21 Junvs Orange County SC2–3L
14 Jun@ Birmingham Legion2–1W
7 Junvs Oakland Roots0–2L
31 Mayvs FC Tulsa0–0D
24 Mayvs Colorado Springs2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Las Vegas Lights v Monterey Bay1–0
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights head-to-head page →

USL League One Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City4400+912
2Colorado Springs4400+912
3Tampa Bay Rowdies4400+912
4San Antonio4400+512
5Charlotte Independence4400+412
6Miami FC4301+69
7Charleston Battery4301+59
8Birmingham Legion4301+59
9Hartford Athletic4301+59
10Rhode Island4301+49
11Sacramento Republic4301+49
12Boise4301+39
13New Mexico United4301+39
14Indy Eleven4301+39
15One Knoxville4301+29
16Spokane Velocity430109
17Brooklyn4202+46
18Pittsburgh Riverhounds4202+36
19Lexington420206
20El Paso Locomotive420206
21Detroit City420206
22Alta4202-16
23Union Omaha4202-26
24Portland Hearts of Pine4202-36
25Monterey Bay4103-23
26Oakland Roots4103-23
27Sporting JAX4103-23
28FC Tulsa4103-33
29Greenville Triumph4103-33
30Las Vegas Lights4103-33
31Loudoun United4103-33
32Forward Madison4103-43
33Westchester SC4103-43
34Corpus Christi4103-43
35Phoenix Rising4103-53
36NY Cosmos4103-63
37Naples4103-63
38Richmond Kickers4103-63
39Sarasota Paradise4103-73
40Chattanooga Red Wolves4004-50
41Fort Wayne4004-60
42Orange County SC4004-60

More USL League One Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Vegas Lights 35%.

How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.