Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlbania to win ✗58% · @1.50
Double chanceAlbania or draw ✗84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Albania vs Luxembourg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 6 June the Friendlies brings Albania against Luxembourg at Air Albania. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Albania, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Israel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Luxembourg, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Italy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Luxembourg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Albania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albania 1.3 xG, Luxembourg 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albania 58%, draw 26%, Luxembourg 16%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albania 1–0 Luxembourg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albania58%fair 1.71 · @1.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Luxembourg16%fair 6.39 · @7.00
1.96Expected goals
1.33Albania xG
0.64Luxembourg xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Albania 1.3 – 0.6 Luxembourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albania
Luxembourg
Attack vs Friendlies average
-20%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.45
0.89
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albania to win✗
58%
1.71
1.50
Double chance
Albania or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.57
Draw no bet
Albania (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Luxembourg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Albania to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albania / FT Albania✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Recent results
Albania – last 3
LLL
3 Jun
vs Israel
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Ukraine
0–1
L
26 Mar
@ Poland
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Luxembourg – last 3
LWW
3 Jun
vs Italy
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Malta
3–0
W
26 Mar
@ Malta
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albania and Luxembourg.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Albania vs Luxembourg?
On our numbers Albania have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Luxembourg 16%.
How many goals will there be in Albania vs Luxembourg?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albania vs Luxembourg?
Our predicted score is Albania 1–0 Luxembourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Albania vs Luxembourg?
Albania vs Luxembourg (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Air Albania.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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