Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gibraltar v Malta: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Gibraltar

WDDDW
Mon 16 Nov 2026

Malta

WDWWW
Gibraltar 30%Draw 25%Malta 46% Expected goals 0.81 – 1.03
88%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13

10/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultMalta to win46% · fair 2.20
Double chanceEither team to win75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116% · fair 6.13

Gibraltar vs Malta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 16 November the UEFA Nations League brings Gibraltar against Malta. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Gibraltar are 2nd on 2 points after 2 matches; Malta are 1st with 7.

Current form

Gibraltar, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Liechtenstein, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Malta, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Andorra, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Oct 2026) it ended Malta 1–1 Gibraltar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gibraltar 0.8 xG, Malta 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gibraltar 30%, draw 25%, Malta 46%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (88%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gibraltar 0–1 Malta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gibraltar30%fair 3.38
Draw25%fair 4.02
Malta46%fair 2.20
1.84Expected goals
0.81Gibraltar xG
1.03Malta xG
39%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Gibraltar 0.8 – 1.0 Malta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GibraltarMalta
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-23%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-12%+2%
Our expected goals here0.961.07

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMalta to win46%2.20–
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.33–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score61%1.64–
Draw no betMalta (draw no bet)61%1.65–
Asian handicapGibraltar +0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals55%1.82–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals72%1.39–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals96%1.04–
First team to scoreMalta to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–116%6.13–

Recent results

Gibraltar – last 6

WDDDWW
5 Oct@ Liechtenstein2–0W
1 Oct@ Malta1–1D
27 Sepvs Andorra0–0D
23 Sepvs Sao Tome and Principe0–0D
6 Junvs Cayman Islands4–1W
3 Junvs British Virgin Islands4–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Malta – last 6

WDWWWL
4 Octvs Andorra1–0W
1 Octvs Gibraltar1–1D
27 Sepvs Liechtenstein2–0W
24 Sep@ Andorra2–1W
5 Jun@ Azerbaijan2–0W
1 Jun@ Slovakia1–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Malta v Gibraltar1–1
Gibraltar vs Malta head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Malta3210+27
2Gibraltar202002
3Andorra3012-21

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Germany Netherlands 148%1.80X25%4.12227%3.49 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.56
Greece Serbia 163%1.34X22%4.98215%7.34 1.8–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.45
Switzerland Scotland 164%1.41X21%4.37215%6.87 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.27
FYR Macedonia Slovenia 113%6.33X23%3.86264%1.50 0.6–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gibraltar vs Malta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 88% chance.

Who will win Gibraltar vs Malta?

On our numbers Gibraltar have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malta 46%.

How many goals will there be in Gibraltar vs Malta?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gibraltar vs Malta?

Our predicted score is Gibraltar 0–1 Malta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Gibraltar vs Malta?

Gibraltar vs Malta (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.