Value bet: Both teams to score @ 4.00 – our chance 51% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +106%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTunisia to win ✗44% · @1.17
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @4.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Botswana vs Tunisia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tunisia travel to face Botswana on Monday 28 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Botswana are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Tunisia are 2nd with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tunisia, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uganda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botswana 1.3 xG, Tunisia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botswana 38%, draw 18%, Tunisia 44%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 4.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botswana 1–1 Tunisia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botswana38%fair 2.60 · @15.00
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.50
Tunisia44%fair 2.29 · @1.17
2.76Expected goals
1.32Botswana xG
1.44Tunisia xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Botswana 1.3 – 1.4 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tunisia to win✗
44%
2.29
1.17
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
4.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Tunisia (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Botswana +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Tunisia to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tunisia / FT Tunisia✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Botswana – last 1
D
24 Sep
@ Libya
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tunisia – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Sep
vs Uganda
1–1
D
26 Jun
vs Netherlands
1–3
L
21 Jun
vs Japan
0–4
L
15 Jun
@ Sweden
1–5
L
6 Jun
@ Belgium
0–5
L
1 Jun
@ Austria
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botswana and Tunisia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Botswana vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Botswana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tunisia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Botswana vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botswana vs Tunisia?
Our predicted score is Botswana 1–1 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botswana vs Tunisia?
Botswana vs Tunisia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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