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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Central African Republic v Burkina Faso: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Larbi Zaouli Stadium

Central African Republic

LLD
0–1
FT

Burkina Faso

DDLD
Central African Republic 15%Draw 19%Burkina Faso 66% Expected goals 0.89 – 2.11
66%
Betarazi pick

Burkina Faso to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 53% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBurkina Faso to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Central African Republic welcome Burkina Faso to Larbi Zaouli Stadium for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Monday 28 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Central African Republic are 4th on 3 points after 6 matches; Burkina Faso are 2nd with 10.

Current form

Central African Republic, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mauritania, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Burkina Faso, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Benin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central African Republic 0.9 xG, Burkina Faso 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Central African Republic 15%, draw 19%, Burkina Faso 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Burkina Faso to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central African Republic 0–2 Burkina Faso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central African Republic15%fair 6.57 · @8.50
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
Burkina Faso66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
3.00Expected goals
0.89Central African Republic xG
2.11Burkina Faso xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Central African Republic 0.9 – 2.1 Burkina Faso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurkina Faso to win ✓66%1.511.36
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw ✓85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.50 ▲
Draw no betBurkina Faso (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapBurkina Faso -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreBurkina Faso to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultBurkina Faso ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso ✗43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

Central African Republic – last 3

LLD
24 Sep@ Mauritania1–3L
9 Jun@ Angola0–3L
5 Junvs Togo1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burkina Faso – last 4

DDLD
25 Sepvs Benin1–1D
9 Jun@ Belarus2–2D
5 Jun@ Russia0–3L
31 Marvs Guinea-Bissau1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Central African Republic and Burkina Faso.

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco6600+2418
2Gabon6312-210
3Lesotho6114-114
4Central African Republic6105-113

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Equatorial Guinea1 Sierra Leone0 156%1.91X24%2.90220%4.00 2.2–1.3xG 1XEquatorial Guinea or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Zimbabwe1 Congo DR2 114%4.33X26%2.90260%1.85 1.2–2.3xG X2Congo DR or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Botswana2 Tunisia2 138%15.00X18%5.50244%1.17 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

Our pick is Burkina Faso to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

On our numbers Central African Republic have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Burkina Faso 66%.

How many goals will there be in Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

Our predicted score is Central African Republic 0–2 Burkina Faso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso?

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Larbi Zaouli Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.