Zimbabwe 14%Draw 26%Congo DR 60%Expected goals 1.17 – 2.33
86%
Betarazi pick
Congo DR or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCongo DR to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceCongo DR or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.43
Zimbabwe vs Congo DR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Congo DR travel to face Zimbabwe on Monday 28 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with National Sports Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Zimbabwe are 2nd on 9 points after 6 matches; Congo DR are 1st with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zimbabwe, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sierra Leone, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Congo DR, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Equatorial Guinea, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zimbabwe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Congo DR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zimbabwe 1.2 xG, Congo DR 2.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zimbabwe 14%, draw 26%, Congo DR 60%.
Lower-risk option: Congo DR or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Congo DR or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zimbabwe 1–2 Congo DR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zimbabwe14%fair 7.01 · @4.33
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.90
Congo DR60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
3.50Expected goals
1.17Zimbabwe xG
2.33Congo DR xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%
From our goals model: Zimbabwe 1.2 – 2.3 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Congo DR to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Congo DR or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Congo DR (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Congo DR -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Congo DR to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Congo DR ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Congo DR / FT Congo DR✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Zimbabwe – last 3
WLW
24 Sep
@ Sierra Leone
3–2
W
26 May
@ Nigeria
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Zambia U23
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Congo DR – last 6
WLWLDL
24 Sep
vs Equatorial Guinea
2–0
W
1 Jul
@ England
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
3–1
W
24 Jun
@ Colombia
0–1
L
17 Jun
@ Portugal
1–1
D
9 Jun
vs Chile
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zimbabwe and Congo DR.
Our pick is Congo DR or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Zimbabwe have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Congo DR 60%.
How many goals will there be in Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is Zimbabwe 1–2 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Zimbabwe vs Congo DR?
Zimbabwe vs Congo DR (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at National Sports Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central African Republic0
Burkina Faso1
Equatorial Guinea1
Sierra Leone0
Botswana2
Tunisia2