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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

RB Leipzig v FC Ingolstadt 04: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

RB Leipzig

WLWWL
1–0
FT

FC Ingolstadt 04

WWWWL
RB Leipzig 66%Draw 19%FC Ingolstadt 04 15% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.14
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓66% · @1.16
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 25 July: RB Leipzig v FC Ingolstadt 04 in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

RB Leipzig, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Altglienicke, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Palermo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig 2.0 xG, FC Ingolstadt 04 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig 66%, draw 19%, FC Ingolstadt 04 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

RB Leipzig66%fair 1.52 · @1.16
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @7.10
FC Ingolstadt 0415%fair 6.54 · @14.50
3.12Expected goals
1.98RB Leipzig xG
1.14FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.0 – 1.1 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 04
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+3%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-13%
Our expected goals here1.551.30

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRB Leipzig to win ✓66%1.521.16
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✓85%1.181.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.90 ▲
Draw no betRB Leipzig (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapFC Ingolstadt 04 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.201.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.801.90 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.351.38
First team to scoreRB Leipzig to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultRB Leipzig ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

RB Leipzig – last 6

WLWWLW
18 Jul@ Altglienicke2–1W
29 May@ Mamelodi Sundowns1–3L
24 Aprvs Union Berlin3–1W
20 Marvs 1899 Hoffenheim5–0W
15 Mar@ VfB Stuttgart0–1L
1 Mar@ Hamburger SV2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6

WWWWLL
18 Julvs Palermo1–0W
9 Julvs Lask Linz2–0W
4 Julvs Eichstätt2–0W
9 May@ TSV 1860 München2–1W
8 Aprvs FC Viktoria Köln1–2L
5 Apr@ FC Saarbrücken0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and FC Ingolstadt 04.

RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Matsumoto Yamaga3 Ventforet Kofu0 142%2.50X26%3.20232%2.45 1.4–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.65 ✗
FT Espanyol1 Sabadell1 164%1.13X20%5.60216%18.00 1.9–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 57%@1.65 ✗
FT Laval1 Concarneau2 148%1.73X24%3.50228%4.00 1.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@2.25 ✓
FT Luton2 Al Kholood0 166%1.45X19%3.90214%6.00 2.4–1.0xG 1Luton to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Kortrijk4 Knokke1 161%1.44X22%4.20217%5.50 2.3–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Sudtirol0 1. FC Kaiserslautern0 135%1.83X25%3.70240%3.40 1.5–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 61%@1.62 ✗
FT Santa Clara3 Arouca0 145%2.60X25%3.25230%2.38 1.4–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.70 ✗
FT Lens2 Charleroi2 156%1.36X22%4.33222%7.00 2.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Ingolstadt 04 15%.

How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

RB Leipzig vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.