Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLens to win ✗56% · @1.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Lens vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charleroi travel to face Lens on Saturday 25 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Lens, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Boulogne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Charleroi, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Feyenoord, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lens, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Charleroi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 2.0 xG, Charleroi 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 56%, draw 22%, Charleroi 22%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 1–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens56%fair 1.79 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.33
Charleroi22%fair 4.49 · @7.00
3.53Expected goals
1.97Lens xG
1.56Charleroi xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lens 2.0 – 1.6 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lens
Charleroi
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+6%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.92
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✗
56%
1.79
1.36
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Lens (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Charleroi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Lens to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
WWWLWD
18 Jul
vs Boulogne
4–1
W
22 May
vs Nice
3–1
W
17 May
@ Lyon
4–0
W
13 May
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 May
vs Nantes
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
LDDWDW
17 Jul
@ Feyenoord
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Reims
2–2
D
19 May
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
10 May
@ Antwerp
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Genk
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Antwerp
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Charleroi.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lens vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Lens have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charleroi 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Charleroi?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Charleroi?
Lens vs Charleroi (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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