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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matsumoto Yamaga v Ventforet Kofu: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT
Matsumoto Yamaga 42%Draw 26%Ventforet Kofu 32% Expected goals 1.40 – 0.97
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 25 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Matsumoto Yamaga against Ventforet Kofu. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT.

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nara Club, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ventforet Kofu, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tegevajaro Miyazaki, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ventforet Kofu, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Matsumoto Yamaga 0–1 Ventforet Kofu. The last 2 head-to-heads: Matsumoto Yamaga 0 wins, Ventforet Kofu 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 xG, Ventforet Kofu 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 42%, draw 26%, Ventforet Kofu 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–0 Ventforet Kofu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
Ventforet Kofu32%fair 3.11 · @2.45
2.37Expected goals
1.40Matsumoto Yamaga xG
0.97Ventforet Kofu xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.4 – 1.0 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Matsumoto YamagaVentforet Kofu
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+8%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+8%
Our expected goals here1.510.78

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✓42%2.382.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✓57%1.77–
Asian handicapVentforet Kofu +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✓28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.66–

Recent results

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

LDWLLL
6 Junvs Nara Club0–2L
31 May@ Montedio Yamagata1–1D
6 May@ FC Gifu3–0W
3 Mayvs Ventforet Kofu0–1L
26 Aprvs Parceiro Nagano0–1L
18 Apr@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ventforet Kofu – last 6

LLDWLW
6 Jun@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–2L
30 May@ Vegalta Sendai0–1L
16 Mayvs FC Gifu2–2D
9 May@ Iwaki1–0W
6 Mayvs Jubilo Iwata1–2L
3 May@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Matsumoto Yamaga v Ventforet Kofu0–1
28 Feb 2026Ventforet Kofu v Matsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ventforet Kofu 32%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–0 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.