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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Clara v Arouca: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Santa Clara

DWWWW
3–0
FT

Arouca

DDLWW
Santa Clara 45%Draw 25%Arouca 30% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.97
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.70Odds
1

Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSanta Clara to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70

Santa Clara vs Arouca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arouca travel to face Santa Clara on Saturday 25 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Santa Clara, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Felgueiras 1932, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Arouca, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Famalicao, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Santa Clara, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Arouca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Clara 1.4 xG, Arouca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Clara 45%, draw 25%, Arouca 30%.
  • Price worth noting: Santa Clara to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Clara 1–0 Arouca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Clara45%fair 2.23 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
Arouca30%fair 3.29 · @2.38
2.39Expected goals
1.42Santa Clara xG
0.97Arouca xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.4 – 1.0 Arouca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Santa ClaraArouca
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+19%-20%
Goals conceded vs average-28%-17%
Our expected goals here1.700.94

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Clara to win ✓45%2.232.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.33–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.87–
Draw no betSanta Clara (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapArouca +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreSanta Clara to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.70–

Recent results

Santa Clara – last 6

DWWWWW
22 Julvs Felgueiras 19321–1D
22 Julvs Moreirense2–1W
18 Julvs Paredes2–0W
15 Julvs Leça4–0W
11 Mayvs Nacional2–0W
15 Mar@ AVS1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arouca – last 6

DDLWWW
22 Jul@ Famalicao0–0D
18 Jul@ Feirense0–0D
11 Jul@ Rio Ave1–2L
11 May@ GIL Vicente3–1W
19 Aprvs Estrela1–0W
6 Aprvs Estoril3–2W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and Arouca.

Santa Clara vs Arouca head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Matsumoto Yamaga3 Ventforet Kofu0 142%2.50X26%3.20232%2.45 1.4–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.65 ✗
FT Espanyol1 Sabadell1 164%1.13X20%5.60216%18.00 1.9–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 57%@1.65 ✗
FT Laval1 Concarneau2 148%1.73X24%3.50228%4.00 1.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@2.25 ✓
FT Luton2 Al Kholood0 166%1.45X19%3.90214%6.00 2.4–1.0xG 1Luton to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Kortrijk4 Knokke1 161%1.44X22%4.20217%5.50 2.3–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Sudtirol0 1. FC Kaiserslautern0 135%1.83X25%3.70240%3.40 1.5–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 61%@1.62 ✗
FT Lens2 Charleroi2 156%1.36X22%4.33222%7.00 2.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓
FT RB Leipzig1 FC Ingolstadt 040 166%1.16X19%7.10215%14.50 2.0–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.35 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Santa Clara vs Arouca?

On our numbers Santa Clara have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arouca 30%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Arouca?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–0 Arouca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Santa Clara vs Arouca (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.