Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Banga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBanga to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceBanga or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the A Lyga brings Hegelmann Litauen against Banga at Raudondvario stadionas. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Hegelmann Litauen are 8th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 32 matches; Banga are 5th (upper half) with 42. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hegelmann Litauen, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kauno Žalgiris, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Banga, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FK Zalgiris Vilnius, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Banga, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hegelmann Litauen.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Banga 2–0 Hegelmann Litauen. The last 3 head-to-heads: Hegelmann Litauen 0 wins, Banga 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 xG, Banga 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hegelmann Litauen 16%, draw 24%, Banga 60%.
Lower-risk option: Banga or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Banga to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Banga or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Banga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hegelmann Litauen16%fair 6.30 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Banga60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.50Expected goals
0.77Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.73Banga xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 0.8 – 1.7 Banga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
Our pick is Banga or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Banga 60%.
How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 0–1 Banga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga?
Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
