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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Suduva Marijampole v Panevėžys: numbers & prediction

A Lyga · Lithuania · Marijampole Football Arena
2–0
FT
Suduva Marijampole 63%Draw 19%Panevėžys 18% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.76
63%
Betarazi pick

Suduva Marijampole to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94

Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:45 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Suduva Marijampole v Panevėžys in the A Lyga, played at Marijampole Football Arena. In the table, Suduva Marijampole are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; Panevėžys are 7th (lower half) with 38. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Suduva Marijampole, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Džiugas Telšiai, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Panevėžys, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Šiauliai, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Suduva Marijampole, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Panevėžys.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Jun 2026) it ended Panevėžys 1–2 Suduva Marijampole. The last 2 head-to-heads: Suduva Marijampole 1 win, Panevėžys 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Suduva Marijampole 1.7 xG, Panevėžys 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Suduva Marijampole 63%, draw 19%, Panevėžys 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Suduva Marijampole to win (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Panevėžys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Suduva Marijampole63%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.70
Panevėžys18%fair 5.46 · @5.50
2.48Expected goals
1.72Suduva Marijampole xG
0.76Panevėžys xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.7 – 0.8 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSuduva Marijampole to win ✓63%1.601.50
Double chanceSuduva Marijampole or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.85
Draw no betSuduva Marijampole (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapSuduva Marijampole -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreSuduva Marijampole to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suduva Marijampole / FT Suduva Marijampole ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.94–

Recent results

Suduva Marijampole – last 6

WWWDWW
17 Aug@ Džiugas Telšiai2–0W
9 Aug@ Banga3–1W
20 Julvs Hegelmann Litauen5–1W
6 Julvs TransINVEST Vilnius0–0D
29 Jun@ Panevėžys2–1W
21 Jun@ Džiugas Telšiai2–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Panevėžys – last 6

LWDDDL
17 Aug@ Šiauliai0–1L
10 Aug@ TransINVEST Vilnius2–0W
3 Augvs Džiugas Telšiai1–1D
30 Jul@ FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
23 Julvs FK Tobol Kostanay1–1D
11 Jul@ Kauno Žalgiris0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Jun 2026Panevėžys v Suduva Marijampole1–2
22 Feb 2026Panevėžys v Suduva Marijampole0–0
Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys head-to-head page →

A Lyga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris3216106+3758
2Suduva Marijampole3215116+1156
3FK Zalgiris Vilnius3216610+1554
4TransINVEST Vilnius3215710+1252
5Banga3211912+142
6Džiugas Telšiai3211912-542
7Panevėžys3211516-1438
8Hegelmann Litauen3241414-2526
9Šiauliai325918-3224
10FK Trakai000000

More A Lyga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?

Our pick is Suduva Marijampole to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?

On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Panevėžys 18%.

How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?

Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys?

Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.