Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dumbarton v ST Mirren: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Dumbarton Football Stadium

Dumbarton

LLWDL
0–4
FT

ST Mirren

WWDDW
Dumbarton 16%Draw 19%ST Mirren 65% Expected goals 1.18 – 2.12
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultST Mirren to win ✓65% · @1.18
Double chanceST Mirren or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Dumbarton vs ST Mirren: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 July the League Cup brings Dumbarton against ST Mirren at Dumbarton Football Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Dumbarton, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ayr Utd, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

ST Mirren, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Arbroath, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours ST Mirren, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Dumbarton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dumbarton 1.2 xG, ST Mirren 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dumbarton 16%, draw 19%, ST Mirren 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dumbarton 1–2 ST Mirren. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dumbarton16%fair 6.35 · @15.00
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @6.50
ST Mirren65%fair 1.53 · @1.18
3.30Expected goals
1.18Dumbarton xG
2.12ST Mirren xG
59%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Dumbarton 1.2 – 2.1 ST Mirren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultST Mirren to win ✓65%1.531.18
Double chanceST Mirren or draw ✓84%1.191.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.73
Draw no betST Mirren (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapDumbarton +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.902.00 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.44
First team to scoreST Mirren to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultST Mirren ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT ST Mirren / FT ST Mirren ✓38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Dumbarton – last 5

LLWDL
30 Jun@ Ayr Utd0–3L
20 Jun@ Linlithgow Rose3–4L
10 Marvs Stranraer2–0W
24 Febvs Clyde0–0D
21 Feb@ East Kilbride1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

ST Mirren – last 6

WWDDWD
27 Jun@ Arbroath4–2W
25 Mayvs Partick1–0W
21 May@ Partick1–1D
17 Mayvs Dundee Utd1–1D
12 May@ Aberdeen2–0W
19 Apr@ Celtic2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dumbarton and ST Mirren.

Dumbarton vs ST Mirren head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Annan Athletic1 Ross County4 16%11.00X15%5.50279%1.25 0.8–3.2xG 2Ross County to win 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Dundee4 Airdrie United2 156%1.56X21%4.40222%5.00 1.9–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓
FT East Kilbride3 Dunfermline0 127%4.00X23%3.95250%1.76 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.48 ✗
FT Edinburgh City0 Falkirk5 112%13.00X19%6.60269%1.19 1.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Inverness CT1 East Fife1 Pens 5–3 163%1.29X21%5.40215%9.10 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.57 ✓
FT Morton0 Linlithgow Rose1 153%1.46X21%4.45226%6.25 1.7–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.60 ✗
FT Partick6 Brechin0 178%1.05X14%11.5028%33.00 2.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.10 ✗
FT Peterhead0 Hamilton Academical1 129%2.68X26%3.55245%2.40 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dumbarton vs ST Mirren?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Dumbarton vs ST Mirren?

On our numbers Dumbarton have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and ST Mirren 65%.

How many goals will there be in Dumbarton vs ST Mirren?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dumbarton vs ST Mirren?

Our predicted score is Dumbarton 1–2 ST Mirren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Dumbarton vs ST Mirren?

Dumbarton vs ST Mirren (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Dumbarton Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.