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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Peterhead v Hamilton Academical: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Balmoor

Peterhead

WWWWL
0–1
FT

Hamilton Academical

WDDWL
Peterhead 29%Draw 26%Hamilton Academical 45% Expected goals 1.03 – 1.45
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: Hamilton Academical to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.02

Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 11 July: Peterhead v Hamilton Academical in the League Cup, played at Balmoor.

Current form

Peterhead, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Forfar Athletic, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Hamilton Academical, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Haverfordwest County AFC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Peterhead, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Hamilton Academical.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Peterhead 1.0 xG, Hamilton Academical 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Peterhead 29%, draw 26%, Hamilton Academical 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Hamilton Academical to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterhead 1–1 Hamilton Academical. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Peterhead29%fair 3.47 · @2.68
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.55
Hamilton Academical45%fair 2.21 · @2.40
2.48Expected goals
1.03Peterhead xG
1.45Hamilton Academical xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Peterhead 1.0 – 1.5 Hamilton Academical expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✓45%2.212.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.57
Draw no betHamilton Academical (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapPeterhead +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.15
First team to scoreHamilton Academical to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✓28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

Peterhead – last 6

WWWWLL
7 Jul@ Forfar Athletic3–0W
4 Julvs Celtic II3–1W
2 Jul@ Dundee II3–1W
27 Jun@ Banks O' Dee3–0W
14 Aprvs Inverness CT0–2L
17 Mar@ Inverness CT1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hamilton Academical – last 6

WDDWLL
4 Jul@ Haverfordwest County AFC4–0W
27 Jun@ Raith Rovers2–2D
12 May@ Clyde1–1D
5 May@ Forfar Athletic3–1W
3 Marvs Stenhousemuir0–1L
21 Feb@ Alloa Athletic0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Peterhead and Hamilton Academical.

Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Annan Athletic1 Ross County4 16%11.00X15%5.50279%1.25 0.8–3.2xG 2Ross County to win 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Dumbarton0 ST Mirren4 116%15.00X19%6.50265%1.18 1.2–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.33 ✓
FT Dundee4 Airdrie United2 156%1.56X21%4.40222%5.00 1.9–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓
FT East Kilbride3 Dunfermline0 127%4.00X23%3.95250%1.76 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.48 ✗
FT Edinburgh City0 Falkirk5 112%13.00X19%6.60269%1.19 1.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Inverness CT1 East Fife1 Pens 5–3 163%1.29X21%5.40215%9.10 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.57 ✓
FT Morton0 Linlithgow Rose1 153%1.46X21%4.45226%6.25 1.7–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.60 ✗
FT Partick6 Brechin0 178%1.05X14%11.5028%33.00 2.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.10 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?

On our numbers Peterhead have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hamilton Academical 45%.

How many goals will there be in Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?

Our predicted score is Peterhead 1–1 Hamilton Academical, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical?

Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Balmoor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.