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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

East Kilbride v Dunfermline: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · K-Park Training Academy

East Kilbride

WWW
3–0
FT

Dunfermline

WWLLD
East Kilbride 27%Draw 23%Dunfermline 50% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.78
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultDunfermline to win ✗50% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.03

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 July the League Cup brings East Kilbride against Dunfermline at K-Park Training Academy. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

East Kilbride, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Kelty Hearts, at home. 4.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Dunfermline, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kelty Hearts, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours East Kilbride, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Dunfermline.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give East Kilbride 1.5 xG, Dunfermline 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – East Kilbride 27%, draw 23%, Dunfermline 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: East Kilbride 1–1 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

East Kilbride27%fair 3.67 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.95
Dunfermline50%fair 2.00 · @1.76
3.24Expected goals
1.46East Kilbride xG
1.78Dunfermline xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: East Kilbride 1.5 – 1.8 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDunfermline to win ✗50%2.001.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.48
Draw no betDunfermline (draw no bet) ✗65%1.55–
Asian handicapEast Kilbride +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.591.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
First team to scoreDunfermline to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline ✗28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.03–

Recent results

East Kilbride – last 3

WWW
27 Junvs Kelty Hearts4–0W
21 Febvs Dumbarton3–1W
17 Feb@ Elgin City6–1W
4.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Dunfermline – last 6

WWLLDD
4 Jul@ Kelty Hearts3–0W
27 Jun@ Clyde2–1W
25 Jun@ FC Botosani0–1L
23 May@ Celtic1–3L
12 Mayvs Partick1–1D
8 May@ Arbroath0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Dunfermline.

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Annan Athletic1 Ross County4 16%11.00X15%5.50279%1.25 0.8–3.2xG 2Ross County to win 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Dumbarton0 ST Mirren4 116%15.00X19%6.50265%1.18 1.2–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.33 ✓
FT Dundee4 Airdrie United2 156%1.56X21%4.40222%5.00 1.9–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Edinburgh City0 Falkirk5 112%13.00X19%6.60269%1.19 1.0–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Inverness CT1 East Fife1 Pens 5–3 163%1.29X21%5.40215%9.10 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.57 ✓
FT Morton0 Linlithgow Rose1 153%1.46X21%4.45226%6.25 1.7–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.60 ✗
FT Partick6 Brechin0 178%1.05X14%11.5028%33.00 2.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@2.10 ✗
FT Peterhead0 Hamilton Academical1 129%2.68X26%3.55245%2.40 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

On our numbers East Kilbride have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dunfermline 50%.

How many goals will there be in East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

Our predicted score is East Kilbride 1–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is East Kilbride vs Dunfermline?

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at K-Park Training Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.