Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFalkirk to win ✓69% · @1.19
Double chanceFalkirk or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Edinburgh City vs Falkirk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Falkirk travel to face Edinburgh City on Saturday 11 July in the League Cup, with Meadowbank Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Edinburgh City, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Falkirk, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Airdrie United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Falkirk, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.4 for Edinburgh City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Edinburgh City 1.0 xG, Falkirk 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Edinburgh City 12%, draw 19%, Falkirk 69%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Edinburgh City 1–2 Falkirk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Edinburgh City12%fair 8.43 · @13.00
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @6.60
Falkirk69%fair 1.44 · @1.19
3.31Expected goals
0.97Edinburgh City xG
2.34Falkirk xG
59%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: Edinburgh City 1.0 – 2.3 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Falkirk to win✓
69%
1.44
1.19
Double chance
Falkirk or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Falkirk (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Falkirk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.50
First team to score
Falkirk to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Falkirk ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Falkirk / FT Falkirk✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Edinburgh City – last 5
DLDLL
4 Jul
vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1–1
D
30 Jun
@ Raith Rovers
0–4
L
27 Jun
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
3–3
D
24 Feb
@ Elgin City
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Clyde
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Falkirk – last 5
WLLWL
7 Jul
@ Airdrie United
2–1
W
13 May
@ Heart Of Midlothian
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs Rangers
3–6
L
6 Mar
vs Dundee Utd
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Heart Of Midlothian
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Edinburgh City and Falkirk.
What is the prediction for Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Edinburgh City have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Falkirk 69%.
How many goals will there be in Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?
Our predicted score is Edinburgh City 1–2 Falkirk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?
Edinburgh City vs Falkirk (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.