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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aberdeen v Kelty Hearts: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen

WWWWL
3–0
FT

Kelty Hearts

WLDLL
Aberdeen 74%Draw 17%Kelty Hearts 9% Expected goals 2.50 – 0.87
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAberdeen to win ✓74% · @1.13
Double chanceAberdeen or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aberdeen welcome Kelty Hearts to Pittodrie Stadium for a League Cup fixture on Saturday 25 July (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Aberdeen, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Queen of the South, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kelty Hearts, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Brora Rangers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aberdeen, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Kelty Hearts.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 2.5 xG, Kelty Hearts 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 74%, draw 17%, Kelty Hearts 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 2–1 Kelty Hearts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aberdeen74%fair 1.35 · @1.13
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @6.80
Kelty Hearts9%fair 11.15 · @14.00
3.37Expected goals
2.50Aberdeen xG
0.87Kelty Hearts xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Aberdeen 2.5 – 0.9 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAberdeen to win ✓74%1.351.13
Double chanceAberdeen or draw ✓91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.73
Draw no betAberdeen (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapAberdeen -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓51%1.962.05
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.451.48
First team to scoreAberdeen to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultAberdeen ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen ✓49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.70–

Recent results

Aberdeen – last 6

WWWWLW
22 Jul@ Queen of the South4–1W
18 Julvs Queen's Park2–1W
14 Jul@ Brora Rangers2–0W
11 Jul@ Linfield2–0W
4 Jul@ Twente0–1L
27 Jun@ Cove Rangers1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kelty Hearts – last 6

WLDLLL
21 Julvs Brora Rangers3–2W
14 Julvs Queen's Park1–2L
11 Jul@ Queen of the South1–1D
4 Julvs Dunfermline0–3L
27 Jun@ East Kilbride0–4L
20 Jun@ Gala Fairydean Rovers1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and Kelty Hearts.

Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Airdrie United0 Ross County3 117%4.10X21%3.85262%1.68 1.1–2.3xG 2Ross County to win 62%@1.68 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Stirling Albion0 160%1.53X21%4.10219%5.10 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Ayr Utd4 Alloa Athletic1 158%1.44X24%4.33218%5.80 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Dumbarton2 Cove Rangers0 129%3.00X23%3.60248%2.05 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.45 ✗
FT Dundee4 Clyde0 170%1.12X17%6.75213%17.00 2.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Falkirk3 Stranraer0 169%1.12X18%6.75212%16.00 2.3–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓
FT Forfar Athletic3 Brechin1 147%1.68X23%3.75231%4.20 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Hamilton Academical5 Elgin City0 172%1.15X18%5.80210%15.00 2.1–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

On our numbers Aberdeen have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kelty Hearts 9%.

How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

Our predicted score is Aberdeen 2–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.