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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hamilton Academical v Elgin City: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · ZLX Stadium

Hamilton Academical

LDWWD
5–0
FT

Elgin City

LLLWW
Hamilton Academical 72%Draw 18%Elgin City 10% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.74
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHamilton Academical to win ✓72% · @1.15
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Elgin City travel to face Hamilton Academical on Saturday 25 July in the League Cup, with ZLX Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Hamilton Academical, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kilmarnock, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Elgin City, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kilmarnock, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamilton Academical 2.1 xG, Elgin City 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hamilton Academical 72%, draw 18%, Elgin City 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamilton Academical 2–0 Elgin City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hamilton Academical72%fair 1.38 · @1.15
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @5.80
Elgin City10%fair 9.99 · @15.00
2.88Expected goals
2.14Hamilton Academical xG
0.74Elgin City xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 2.1 – 0.7 Elgin City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHamilton Academical to win ✓72%1.381.15
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw ✓90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betHamilton Academical (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapHamilton Academical -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.28
First team to scoreHamilton Academical to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultHamilton Academical ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hamilton Academical / FT Hamilton Academical ✓46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Hamilton Academical – last 6

LDWWDD
21 Jul@ Kilmarnock0–1L
18 Julvs Raith Rovers1–1D
11 Jul@ Peterhead1–0W
4 Jul@ Haverfordwest County AFC4–0W
27 Jun@ Raith Rovers2–2D
12 May@ Clyde1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Elgin City – last 6

LLLWWD
18 Julvs Kilmarnock0–1L
14 Julvs Peterhead1–3L
11 Jul@ Raith Rovers1–3L
4 Jul@ Johnstone Burgh3–2W
30 Jun@ Nairn County6–0W
27 Jun@ Airdrie United1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hamilton Academical and Elgin City.

Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

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FT Aberdeen3 Kelty Hearts0 174%1.13X17%6.8029%14.00 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Airdrie United0 Ross County3 117%4.10X21%3.85262%1.68 1.1–2.3xG 2Ross County to win 62%@1.68 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Stirling Albion0 160%1.53X21%4.10219%5.10 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Ayr Utd4 Alloa Athletic1 158%1.44X24%4.33218%5.80 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Dumbarton2 Cove Rangers0 129%3.00X23%3.60248%2.05 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.45 ✗
FT Dundee4 Clyde0 170%1.12X17%6.75213%17.00 2.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Falkirk3 Stranraer0 169%1.12X18%6.75212%16.00 2.3–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓
FT Forfar Athletic3 Brechin1 147%1.68X23%3.75231%4.20 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City?

On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elgin City 10%.

How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City?

Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 2–0 Elgin City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City?

Hamilton Academical vs Elgin City (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.