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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ayr Utd v Alloa Athletic: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Somerset Park

Ayr Utd

WWWWW
4–1
FT

Alloa Athletic

DDLLW
Ayr Utd 58%Draw 24%Alloa Athletic 18% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.07
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAyr Utd to win ✓58% · @1.44
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Ayr Utd v Alloa Athletic in the League Cup, played at Somerset Park.

Current form

Ayr Utd, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Edinburgh City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Alloa Athletic, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Falkirk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ayr Utd, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Alloa Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 1.8 xG, Alloa Athletic 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 58%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 1–1 Alloa Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ayr Utd58%fair 1.72 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.33
Alloa Athletic18%fair 5.41 · @5.80
2.89Expected goals
1.82Ayr Utd xG
1.07Alloa Athletic xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%

From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.8 – 1.1 Alloa Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAyr Utd to win ✓58%1.721.44
Double chanceAyr Utd or draw ✓82%1.231.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.65
Draw no betAyr Utd (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapAlloa Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.22
First team to scoreAyr Utd to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultAyr Utd ahead at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ayr Utd / FT Ayr Utd ✓34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Ayr Utd – last 6

WWWWWW
18 Julvs Edinburgh City2–0W
14 Jul@ Falkirk1–0W
11 Jul@ Stranraer3–2W
4 Julvs Airdrie United2–1W
30 Junvs Dumbarton3–0W
27 Junvs Glenafton Athletic3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Alloa Athletic – last 6

DDLLWL
21 Julvs Falkirk1–1D
18 Julvs Stranraer2–2D
14 Jul@ Edinburgh City0–2L
30 Junvs Livingston0–3L
23 Junvs Civil Service Strollers5–0W
13 Mayvs Stenhousemuir1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ayr Utd and Alloa Athletic.

Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen3 Kelty Hearts0 174%1.13X17%6.8029%14.00 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Airdrie United0 Ross County3 117%4.10X21%3.85262%1.68 1.1–2.3xG 2Ross County to win 62%@1.68 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Stirling Albion0 160%1.53X21%4.10219%5.10 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Dumbarton2 Cove Rangers0 129%3.00X23%3.60248%2.05 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.45 ✗
FT Dundee4 Clyde0 170%1.12X17%6.75213%17.00 2.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Falkirk3 Stranraer0 169%1.12X18%6.75212%16.00 2.3–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓
FT Forfar Athletic3 Brechin1 147%1.68X23%3.75231%4.20 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Hamilton Academical5 Elgin City0 172%1.15X18%5.80210%15.00 2.1–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alloa Athletic 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 1–1 Alloa Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic?

Ayr Utd vs Alloa Athletic (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.