Wednesday 11 November 2026 12 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Falkirk v Stranraer: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Falkirk Stadium

Falkirk

DWLWW
3–0
FT

Stranraer

LDLDW
Falkirk 69%Draw 18%Stranraer 12% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.00
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFalkirk to win ✓69% · @1.12
Double chanceFalkirk or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Falkirk vs Stranraer: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stranraer travel to face Falkirk on Saturday 25 July in the League Cup, with Falkirk Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Falkirk, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alloa Athletic, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Stranraer, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Edinburgh City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Falkirk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Stranraer.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Falkirk 2.3 xG, Stranraer 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Falkirk 69%, draw 18%, Stranraer 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Falkirk 2–1 Stranraer. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Falkirk69%fair 1.44 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @6.75
Stranraer12%fair 8.01 · @16.00
3.27Expected goals
2.27Falkirk xG
1.00Stranraer xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Falkirk 2.3 – 1.0 Stranraer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFalkirk to win ✓69%1.441.12
Double chanceFalkirk or draw ✓88%1.14–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.95 ▲
Draw no betFalkirk (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapFalkirk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.841.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.381.36
First team to scoreFalkirk to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultFalkirk ahead at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Falkirk / FT Falkirk ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Falkirk – last 6

DWLWWL
21 Jul@ Alloa Athletic1–1D
18 Julvs Genk1–0W
14 Julvs Ayr Utd0–1L
11 Jul@ Edinburgh City5–0W
7 Jul@ Airdrie United2–1W
13 May@ Heart Of Midlothian0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stranraer – last 6

LDLDWD
21 Julvs Edinburgh City0–2L
18 Jul@ Alloa Athletic2–2D
11 Julvs Ayr Utd2–3L
4 Jul@ Morton0–0D
27 Junvs Dundela4–0W
20 Junvs Larne0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Falkirk and Stranraer.

Falkirk vs Stranraer head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen3 Kelty Hearts0 174%1.13X17%6.8029%14.00 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Airdrie United0 Ross County3 117%4.10X21%3.85262%1.68 1.1–2.3xG 2Ross County to win 62%@1.68 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Stirling Albion0 160%1.53X21%4.10219%5.10 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Ayr Utd4 Alloa Athletic1 158%1.44X24%4.33218%5.80 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Dumbarton2 Cove Rangers0 129%3.00X23%3.60248%2.05 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.45 ✗
FT Dundee4 Clyde0 170%1.12X17%6.75213%17.00 2.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Forfar Athletic3 Brechin1 147%1.68X23%3.75231%4.20 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Hamilton Academical5 Elgin City0 172%1.15X18%5.80210%15.00 2.1–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.70 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Falkirk vs Stranraer?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Falkirk vs Stranraer?

On our numbers Falkirk have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stranraer 12%.

How many goals will there be in Falkirk vs Stranraer?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Falkirk vs Stranraer?

Our predicted score is Falkirk 2–1 Stranraer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Falkirk vs Stranraer?

Falkirk vs Stranraer (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Falkirk Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.