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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Morton v Inverness CT: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Cappielow Park

Morton

LLLDD
0–1
FT

Inverness CT

WWDWL
Morton 20%Draw 22%Inverness CT 58% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.68
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultInverness CT to win ✓58% · @1.53
Double chanceInverness CT or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Morton vs Inverness CT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 25 July: Morton v Inverness CT in the League Cup, played at Cappielow Park.

Current form

Morton, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to ST Johnstone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Inverness CT, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ST Johnstone, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Inverness CT, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Morton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morton 1.0 xG, Inverness CT 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 20%, draw 22%, Inverness CT 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 1–1 Inverness CT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morton20%fair 5.02 · @5.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.10
Inverness CT58%fair 1.73 · @1.53
2.70Expected goals
1.02Morton xG
1.68Inverness CT xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Morton 1.0 – 1.7 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInverness CT to win ✓58%1.731.53
Double chanceInverness CT or draw ✓80%1.251.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.60
Draw no betInverness CT (draw no bet) ✓74%1.34–
Asian handicapMorton +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreInverness CT to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Inverness CT / FT Inverness CT ✓32%3.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Morton – last 6

LLLDDW
18 Jul@ ST Johnstone0–3L
14 Jul@ East Fife0–2L
11 Julvs Linlithgow Rose0–1L
4 Julvs Stranraer0–0D
1 Mayvs Airdrie United1–1D
28 Marvs Arbroath2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Inverness CT – last 6

WWDWLL
21 Julvs ST Johnstone1–0W
18 Jul@ Linlithgow Rose2–0W
11 Julvs East Fife1–1D
7 Jul@ Cove Rangers4–1W
4 Julvs Ross County0–4L
3 Jul@ Forres Mechanics1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morton and Inverness CT.

Morton vs Inverness CT head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen3 Kelty Hearts0 174%1.13X17%6.8029%14.00 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Airdrie United0 Ross County3 117%4.10X21%3.85262%1.68 1.1–2.3xG 2Ross County to win 62%@1.68 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Stirling Albion0 160%1.53X21%4.10219%5.10 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Ayr Utd4 Alloa Athletic1 158%1.44X24%4.33218%5.80 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Dumbarton2 Cove Rangers0 129%3.00X23%3.60248%2.05 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.45 ✗
FT Dundee4 Clyde0 170%1.12X17%6.75213%17.00 2.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Falkirk3 Stranraer0 169%1.12X18%6.75212%16.00 2.3–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓
FT Forfar Athletic3 Brechin1 147%1.68X23%3.75231%4.20 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morton vs Inverness CT?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Morton vs Inverness CT?

On our numbers Morton have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Inverness CT 58%.

How many goals will there be in Morton vs Inverness CT?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morton vs Inverness CT?

Our predicted score is Morton 1–1 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Morton vs Inverness CT?

Morton vs Inverness CT (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.