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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stenhousemuir v Livingston: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir

DWWWD
0–0
FTPens 3–1

Livingston

WDWWW
Stenhousemuir 20%Draw 23%Livingston 57% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.88
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultLivingston to win ✗57% · @1.48
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓80% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Livingston travel to face Stenhousemuir on Saturday 25 July in the League Cup, with Ochilview Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Stenhousemuir, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Partick, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Livingston, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Forfar Athletic, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 1.1 xG, Livingston 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 20%, draw 23%, Livingston 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 1–1 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stenhousemuir20%fair 4.93 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.20
Livingston57%fair 1.77 · @1.48
3.01Expected goals
1.13Stenhousemuir xG
1.88Livingston xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 1.1 – 1.9 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLivingston to win ✗57%1.771.48
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓80%1.251.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.65
Draw no betLivingston (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapStenhousemuir +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.691.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreLivingston to score first ✗59%1.69–
Half-time resultLivingston ahead at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Livingston / FT Livingston ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Stenhousemuir – last 6

DWWWDW
21 Jul@ Partick2–2D
18 Jul@ Brechin2–1W
11 Julvs Forfar Athletic2–0W
13 May@ Alloa Athletic3–1W
5 May@ Queen of the South1–1D
3 Mar@ Hamilton Academical1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Livingston – last 6

WDWWWW
21 Julvs Forfar Athletic8–0W
18 Julvs Partick1–1D
14 Jul@ Brechin2–0W
10 Julvs Heart Of Midlothian2–1W
30 Jun@ Alloa Athletic3–0W
27 Junvs Dundee2–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Livingston.

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen3 Kelty Hearts0 174%1.13X17%6.8029%14.00 2.5–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.28 ✓
FT Airdrie United0 Ross County3 117%4.10X21%3.85262%1.68 1.1–2.3xG 2Ross County to win 62%@1.68 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Stirling Albion0 160%1.53X21%4.10219%5.10 1.9–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Ayr Utd4 Alloa Athletic1 158%1.44X24%4.33218%5.80 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Dumbarton2 Cove Rangers0 129%3.00X23%3.60248%2.05 1.6–2.2xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.45 ✗
FT Dundee4 Clyde0 170%1.12X17%6.75213%17.00 2.5–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓
FT Falkirk3 Stranraer0 169%1.12X18%6.75212%16.00 2.3–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.35 ✓
FT Forfar Athletic3 Brechin1 147%1.68X23%3.75231%4.20 1.7–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Livingston 57%.

How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 1–1 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?

Stenhousemuir vs Livingston (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.