Value bet: Liberia to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSierra Leone to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Sierra Leone vs Liberia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 6 June: Sierra Leone v Liberia in the Friendlies.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sierra Leone 1.3 xG, Liberia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sierra Leone 42%, draw 25%, Liberia 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Liberia to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sierra Leone 1–1 Liberia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sierra Leone42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Liberia33%fair 2.99 · @3.40
2.50Expected goals
1.34Sierra Leone xG
1.16Liberia xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sierra Leone 1.3 – 1.2 Liberia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sierra Leone to win✓
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sierra Leone (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Liberia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sierra Leone to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sierra Leone / FT Sierra Leone✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Sierra Leone
No recent results on record.
Liberia – last 2
DL
31 Mar
vs Libya
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Benin
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sierra Leone and Liberia.
What is the prediction for Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
On our numbers Sierra Leone have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liberia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
Our predicted score is Sierra Leone 1–1 Liberia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sierra Leone vs Liberia?
Sierra Leone vs Liberia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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