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Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers: numbers & prediction

FAI Cup · Ireland · Finn Park

Finn Harps

LWDLL
0–1
FT

Bray Wanderers

WWLWD
Finn Harps 24%Draw 21%Bray Wanderers 55% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.95
55%
Betarazi pick

Bray Wanderers to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✓55% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 17 July the FAI Cup brings Finn Harps against Bray Wanderers at Finn Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Finn Harps, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Treaty United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Bray Wanderers, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over UCD, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bray Wanderers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Finn Harps 2–1 Bray Wanderers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Finn Harps 1 win, Bray Wanderers 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.2 xG, Bray Wanderers 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 24%, draw 21%, Bray Wanderers 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bray Wanderers to win (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 1–2 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Finn Harps24%fair 4.24 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Bray Wanderers55%fair 1.81 · @1.83
3.12Expected goals
1.17Finn Harps xG
1.95Bray Wanderers xG
50%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.2 – 1.9 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✓55%1.811.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.27–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapFinn Harps +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultBray Wanderers ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Finn Harps – last 6

LWDLLL
10 Julvs Treaty United0–1L
3 Julvs Wexford1–0W
26 Jun@ Athlone Town1–1D
19 Jun@ Cobh Ramblers1–3L
12 Junvs UCD0–5L
29 May@ Cork City0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bray Wanderers – last 6

WWLWDW
10 Julvs UCD6–0W
3 Julvs Athlone Town1–0W
26 Jun@ Cork City0–2L
19 Junvs Longford Town5–2W
12 Jun@ Treaty United2–2D
29 Mayvs Wexford4–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers2–1
6 Apr 2026Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps2–2
Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers head-to-head page →

More FAI Cup predictions

League hub
FT Athlone Town3 Midleton0 169%1.36X17%4.50214%7.00 1.6–0.4xG 1Athlone Town to win 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Galway United4 Crumlin United0 173%1.11X16%7.20211%16.00 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Kerry2 Shelbourne2 Pens 6–5 120%8.00X22%4.40258%1.33 1.1–1.6xG 2Shelbourne to win 58%@1.33 ✗
FT Shamrock Rovers1 Cork City1 AET 4–1 161%1.33X21%4.75218%6.50 2.1–1.2xG 1Shamrock Rovers to win 61%@1.33 ✗
FT St Patrick's Athl.2 Wexford1 172%1.17X18%6.00210%14.00 2.3–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.38 ✓
FT Treaty United1 UCD2 126%3.25X22%3.60252%1.95 1.2–1.8xG 2UCD to win 52%@1.95 ✓
FT Waterford2 Cobh Ramblers1 163%1.48X22%4.10215%5.60 2.2–1.0xG 1Waterford to win 63%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Our pick is Bray Wanderers to win with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

On our numbers Finn Harps have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bray Wanderers 55%.

How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–2 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.