Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✗58% · @1.33
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✓80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗5% · fair 20.28
Kerry vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 17 July: Kerry v Shelbourne in the FAI Cup, played at Mounthawk Park.
Current form
Kerry, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wexford, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Shelbourne, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Celtic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.1 xG, Shelbourne 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 20%, draw 22%, Shelbourne 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shelbourne to win (58%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 0–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry20%fair 5.10 · @8.00
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.40
Shelbourne58%fair 1.72 · @1.33
2.72Expected goals
1.07Kerry xG
1.65Shelbourne xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.1 – 1.6 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
58%
1.72
1.33
Double chance
Shelbourne or draw✓
80%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Kerry +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
5%
20.28
–
Recent results
Kerry – last 6
DLWWWL
10 Jul
@ Wexford
2–2
D
3 Jul
@ Treaty United
1–2
L
26 Jun
vs Longford Town
2–1
W
19 Jun
@ UCD
1–0
W
12 Jun
vs Athlone Town
1–0
W
29 May
@ Cobh Ramblers
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shelbourne – last 6
DWDLDW
7 Jul
vs Celtic
1–1
D
3 Jul
vs Dundalk
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Sligo Rovers
2–2
D
22 Jun
vs Bohemians
0–3
L
19 Jun
@ Drogheda United
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs Shamrock Rovers
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kerry and Shelbourne.
Our pick is Shelbourne to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kerry vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Kerry have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shelbourne 58%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Kerry 0–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Shelbourne?
Kerry vs Shelbourne (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Athlone Town3
Midleton0
Finn Harps0
Bray Wanderers1
Galway United4
Crumlin United0
Shamrock Rovers1
Cork City1
St Patrick's Athl.2
Wexford1
Treaty United1
UCD2
Waterford2
Cobh Ramblers1