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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St Patrick's Athl. v Wexford: numbers & prediction

FAI Cup · Ireland · Richmond Park

St Patrick's Athl.

WDWLW
2–1
FT

Wexford

DLDDL
St Patrick's Athl. 72%Draw 18%Wexford 10% Expected goals 2.31 – 0.79
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓72% · @1.17
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.54

St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 17 July: St Patrick's Athl. v Wexford in the FAI Cup, played at Richmond Park.

Current form

St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Doncaster, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Wexford, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kerry, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Wexford.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 2.3 xG, Wexford 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 72%, draw 18%, Wexford 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 2–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St Patrick's Athl.72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @6.00
Wexford10%fair 10.12 · @14.00
3.10Expected goals
2.31St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.79Wexford xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 2.3 – 0.8 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓72%1.391.17
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓90%1.111.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.772.00 ▲
Draw no betSt Patrick's Athl. (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapSt Patrick's Athl. -1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.741.77
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
First team to scoreSt Patrick's Athl. to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultSt Patrick's Athl. ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT St Patrick's Athl. / FT St Patrick's Athl. ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.54–

Recent results

St Patrick's Athl. – last 6

WDWLWW
14 Jul@ Doncaster4–2W
10 Jul@ Waterford1–1D
3 Julvs Galway United3–0W
26 Jun@ Bohemians0–2L
19 Junvs Sligo Rovers2–0W
12 Junvs Drogheda United2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wexford – last 6

DLDDLL
10 Julvs Kerry2–2D
3 Jul@ Finn Harps0–1L
26 Junvs Treaty United0–0D
19 Jun@ Athlone Town2–2D
12 Junvs Cork City0–2L
29 May@ Bray Wanderers0–4L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St Patrick's Athl. and Wexford.

St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford head-to-head page →

More FAI Cup predictions

League hub
FT Athlone Town3 Midleton0 169%1.36X17%4.50214%7.00 1.6–0.4xG 1Athlone Town to win 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Finn Harps0 Bray Wanderers1 124%3.60X21%3.60255%1.83 1.2–1.9xG 2Bray Wanderers to win 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Galway United4 Crumlin United0 173%1.11X16%7.20211%16.00 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Kerry2 Shelbourne2 Pens 6–5 120%8.00X22%4.40258%1.33 1.1–1.6xG 2Shelbourne to win 58%@1.33 ✗
FT Shamrock Rovers1 Cork City1 AET 4–1 161%1.33X21%4.75218%6.50 2.1–1.2xG 1Shamrock Rovers to win 61%@1.33 ✗
FT Treaty United1 UCD2 126%3.25X22%3.60252%1.95 1.2–1.8xG 2UCD to win 52%@1.95 ✓
FT Waterford2 Cobh Ramblers1 163%1.48X22%4.10215%5.60 2.2–1.0xG 1Waterford to win 63%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wexford 10%.

How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 2–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.