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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Treaty United v UCD: numbers & prediction

FAI Cup · Ireland · Markets Field

Treaty United

WWDLD
1–2
FT

UCD

LLWLW
Treaty United 26%Draw 22%UCD 52% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.75
52%
Betarazi pick

UCD to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultUCD to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.36

Treaty United vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 17 July the FAI Cup brings Treaty United against UCD at Markets Field. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Treaty United, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Finn Harps, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

UCD, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Bray Wanderers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Treaty United 0–3 UCD. The last 2 head-to-heads: Treaty United 0 wins, UCD 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.2 xG, UCD 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 26%, draw 22%, UCD 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was UCD to win (52%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–2 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Treaty United26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
UCD52%fair 1.92 · @1.95
2.93Expected goals
1.18Treaty United xG
1.75UCD xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Treaty United 1.2 – 1.8 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCD to win ✓52%1.921.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.29–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Draw no betUCD (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapTreaty United +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreUCD to score first ✗57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCD / FT UCD ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.36–

Recent results

Treaty United – last 6

WWDLDL
10 Jul@ Finn Harps1–0W
3 Julvs Kerry2–1W
26 Jun@ Wexford0–0D
19 Jun@ Cork City0–4L
12 Junvs Bray Wanderers2–2D
29 May@ Longford Town1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UCD – last 6

LLWLWW
10 Jul@ Bray Wanderers0–6L
4 Jul@ Longford Town1–2L
26 Junvs Cobh Ramblers2–0W
19 Junvs Kerry0–1L
12 Jun@ Finn Harps5–0W
29 Mayvs Athlone Town1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Treaty United v UCD0–3
27 Feb 2026UCD v Treaty United2–0
Treaty United vs UCD head-to-head page →

More FAI Cup predictions

League hub
FT Athlone Town3 Midleton0 169%1.36X17%4.50214%7.00 1.6–0.4xG 1Athlone Town to win 69%@1.36 ✓
FT Finn Harps0 Bray Wanderers1 124%3.60X21%3.60255%1.83 1.2–1.9xG 2Bray Wanderers to win 55%@1.83 ✓
FT Galway United4 Crumlin United0 173%1.11X16%7.20211%16.00 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Kerry2 Shelbourne2 Pens 6–5 120%8.00X22%4.40258%1.33 1.1–1.6xG 2Shelbourne to win 58%@1.33 ✗
FT Shamrock Rovers1 Cork City1 AET 4–1 161%1.33X21%4.75218%6.50 2.1–1.2xG 1Shamrock Rovers to win 61%@1.33 ✗
FT St Patrick's Athl.2 Wexford1 172%1.17X18%6.00210%14.00 2.3–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.38 ✓
FT Waterford2 Cobh Ramblers1 163%1.48X22%4.10215%5.60 2.2–1.0xG 1Waterford to win 63%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our pick is UCD to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Treaty United vs UCD?

On our numbers Treaty United have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCD 52%.

How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs UCD?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs UCD?

Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–2 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Treaty United vs UCD?

Treaty United vs UCD (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.