Value bet: Universitario to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Alianza Lima vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Lima welcome Universitario to Estadio Alejandro Villanueva for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 13 September (02:00 WAT). In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juan Pablo II College, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Universitario, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Comerciantes Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Universitario 1–0 Alianza Lima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 1.3 xG, Universitario 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 39%, draw 25%, Universitario 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Universitario to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.80
Universitario36%fair 2.76 · @3.40
2.48Expected goals
1.26Alianza Lima xG
1.22Universitario xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.3 – 1.2 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitario 36%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Universitario?
Alianza Lima vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
