Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.18
UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Cristal travel to face UCV Moquegua on Sunday 13 September in the Primera División, with Estadio 25 de Noviembre the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cusco, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sporting Cristal, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Momentum favours Sporting Cristal, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for UCV Moquegua.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting Cristal 1–2 UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 0.9 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 16%, draw 22%, Sporting Cristal 62%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting Cristal or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Cristal to win (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 0–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV Moquegua16%fair 6.43 · @4.60
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Sporting Cristal62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
2.78Expected goals
0.85UCV Moquegua xG
1.93Sporting Cristal xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 0.9 – 1.9 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Cristal 62%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 0–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal?
UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
