Sport Boys v Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSport Boys to win ✓61% · @1.70

Double chanceSport Boys or draw ✓84% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.75

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Primera División brings Sport Boys against Deportivo Garcilaso at Estadio Miguel Grau. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sport Boys, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sport Huancayo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Atletico Grau, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Garcilaso, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Sport Boys.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.6 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 61%, draw 23%, Deportivo Garcilaso 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Boys or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sport Boys to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sport Boys61%fair 1.64 · @1.70

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40

Deportivo Garcilaso16%fair 6.35 · @4.80

2.20Expected goals

1.57Sport Boys xG

0.63Deportivo Garcilaso xG

48%Both score

38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

2–014%

0–011%

1–111%

2–19%

3–07%

From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.6 – 0.6 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sport Boys to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.70
Double chance	Sport Boys or draw ✓	84%	1.19	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.83
Draw no bet	Sport Boys (draw no bet) ✓	80%	1.26	–
Asian handicap	Sport Boys -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	93%	1.08	–
First team to score	Sport Boys to score first ✓	63%	1.58	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys ✗	37%	2.72	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	17%	5.75	–

Sport Boys – last 6

LWDWDD

5 Sep	@ Sport Huancayo	1–2	L
30 Aug	vs Sporting Cristal	1–0	W
26 Aug	@ Atletico Grau	2–2	D
23 Aug	vs Cienciano	5–1	W
16 Aug	@ UCV Moquegua	1–1	D
9 Aug	vs Alianza Lima	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6

WWWDWW

6 Sep	vs Atletico Grau	4–2	W
30 Aug	@ Alianza Lima	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Cusco	4–1	W
17 Aug	@ Cienciano	0–0	D
9 Aug	vs UCV Moquegua	2–0	W
2 Aug	@ ADT	1–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our pick is Sport Boys to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

On our numbers Sport Boys have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Garcilaso 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sport Boys v Deportivo Garcilaso: numbers & prediction