Alianza Atletico v Universitario Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUniversitario to win ✓40% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Alianza Atletico v Universitario in the Primera División, played at Estadio Campeones del 36. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Alianza Atletico, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sport Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Universitario, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FBC Melgar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Universitario 1–2 Alianza Atletico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.4 xG, Universitario 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 36%, draw 24%, Universitario 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Atletico36%fair 2.76 · @2.90

Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00

Universitario40%fair 2.52 · @2.40

2.80Expected goals

1.36Alianza Atletico xG

1.44Universitario xG

57%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–26%

From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.4 – 1.4 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Universitario to win ✓	40%	2.52	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.75
Draw no bet	Universitario (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.91	–
Asian handicap	Alianza Atletico +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.18	–
First team to score	Universitario to score first ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Universitario / FT Universitario ✓	23%	4.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.67	–

Alianza Atletico – last 6

WWLWLW

11 Oct	@ Sport Boys	3–1	W
6 Oct	vs Sport Boys	3–0	W
27 Sep	@ Sport Boys	0–3	L
18 Sep	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–1	W
13 Sep	@ Atletico Grau	1–3	L
4 Sep	vs UTC Cajamarca	3–2	W

2.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Universitario – last 6

DLWDWW

11 Oct	vs FBC Melgar	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Deportivo Garcilaso	0–4	L
13 Sep	@ Alianza Lima	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ UTC Cajamarca	4–2	W
24 Aug	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitario 40%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Alianza Atletico vs Universitario?

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Alianza Atletico v Universitario: numbers & prediction