Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.02
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza Lima welcome Atletico Grau to Estadio Alejandro Villanueva for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 18 October (02:30 WAT). In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cusco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Atletico Grau, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Deportivo Los Chankas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 1.8 xG, Atletico Grau 0.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 70%, draw 22%, Atletico Grau 8%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alianza Lima to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima70%fair 1.42 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.80
Atletico Grau8%fair 12.67 · @9.00
2.18Expected goals
1.76Alianza Lima xG
0.42Atletico Grau xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–018%
0–011%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.8 – 0.4 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Draw no bet
Alianza Lima (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Lima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Alianza Lima to score first
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.02
–
Recent results
Alianza Lima – last 6
WLWLDL
12 Oct
@ Cusco
2–1
W
1 Oct
vs Palestino
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs ADT
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Universitario
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Juan Pablo II College
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Grau – last 6
DLWLWD
8 Oct
vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Sporting Cristal
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Alianza Atletico
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
2–4
L
1 Sep
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
26 Aug
vs Sport Boys
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Atletico Grau.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 8%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau?
Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
