Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win ✓66% · @1.65
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FBC Melgar welcome Deportivo Garcilaso to Estadio Monumental de la UNSA for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 18 October (00:00 WAT). In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FBC Melgar, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Universitario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sport Huancayo, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Deportivo Garcilaso, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FBC Melgar.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 FBC Melgar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 1.9 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 66%, draw 22%, Deportivo Garcilaso 12%.
Lower-risk option: FBC Melgar or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FBC Melgar to win (66%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBC Melgar66%fair 1.52 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.70
Deportivo Garcilaso12%fair 8.00 · @4.80
2.54Expected goals
1.87FBC Melgar xG
0.67Deportivo Garcilaso xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.9 – 0.7 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is FBC Melgar to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Garcilaso 12%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
