Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBC Melgar to win43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.53
Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Alianza Atletico v FBC Melgar in the Primera División, played at Estadio Campeones del 36. In the table, Alianza Atletico are 7th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza Atletico, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Cajamarca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
FBC Melgar, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juan Pablo II College, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended FBC Melgar 3–1 Alianza Atletico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 1.4 xG, FBC Melgar 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 33%, draw 24%, FBC Melgar 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Atletico33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
FBC Melgar43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
2.98Expected goals
1.44Alianza Atletico xG
1.54FBC Melgar xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.4 – 1.5 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.61
1.53
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FBC Melgar 43%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
