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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cusco v ADT: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cusco

LLWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

ADT

DDWDL
Cusco 61%Draw 22%ADT 17% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.88
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.39

7/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultCusco to win61% · @1.50
Double chanceCusco or draw83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.18

Cusco vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

ADT travel to face Cusco on Saturday 14 November in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Cusco are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Cusco, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atletico Grau, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

ADT, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sporting Cristal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 May 2026) it ended ADT 1–2 Cusco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cusco 1.9 xG, ADT 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cusco 61%, draw 22%, ADT 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.79.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cusco 1–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cusco61%fair 1.64 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.98
ADT17%fair 5.94 · @5.95
2.73Expected goals
1.85Cusco xG
0.88ADT xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Cusco 1.9 – 0.9 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CuscoADT
Attack vs Primera División average-4%-23%
Goals conceded vs average+2%+7%
Our expected goals here1.780.88

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCusco to win61%1.641.50
Double chanceCusco or draw83%1.201.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.771.79
Draw no betCusco (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapCusco -0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals53%1.881.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals68%1.471.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals83%1.201.13
First team to scoreCusco to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultCusco ahead at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cusco / FT Cusco38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.18–

Recent results

Cusco – last 6

LLWWLL
6 Nov@ Atletico Grau0–3L
1 Novvs Sport Boys0–1L
29 Oct@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas1–0W
24 Octvs Sporting Cristal3–1W
16 Oct@ Sport Huancayo1–2L
12 Octvs Alianza Lima1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

ADT – last 6

DDWDLD
7 Novvs Sporting Cristal1–1D
3 Nov@ Comerciantes Unidos2–2D
28 Octvs UCV Moquegua2–0W
23 Oct@ Atletico Grau1–1D
16 Oct@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas1–2L
10 Octvs FC Cajamarca0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 May 2026ADT v Cusco1–2
Cusco vs ADT head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cusco vs ADT?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Cusco vs ADT?

On our numbers Cusco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ADT 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cusco vs ADT?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cusco vs ADT?

Our predicted score is Cusco 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Cusco vs ADT?

Cusco vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.