UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the Primera División brings UCV Moquegua against Atletico Grau at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, UCV Moquegua are 17th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
UCV Moquegua, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Universitario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Atletico Grau, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cusco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV Moquegua 1.3 xG, Atletico Grau 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV Moquegua 50%, draw 28%, Atletico Grau 22%.
Lower-risk option: UCV Moquegua or draw (78%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.82.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV Moquegua50%fair 2.00 · @1.74
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.52
Atletico Grau22%fair 4.47 · @4.40
2.21Expected goals
1.29UCV Moquegua xG
0.92Atletico Grau xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.3 – 0.9 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average
-42%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-3%
Our expected goals here
0.98
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atletico Grau 22%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
