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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barranquilla v Real Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Romelio Martinez
1–1
FT
Barranquilla 19%Draw 19%Real Cartagena 62% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.80
62%
Betarazi pick

Real Cartagena to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Cartagena to win ✗62% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barranquilla welcome Real Cartagena to Estadio Romelio Martinez for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 24 October (21:30 WAT). In the table, Barranquilla are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4.

Current form

Barranquilla, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to America de Cali, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Real Cartagena, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Patriotas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–1 Barranquilla. The last 2 head-to-heads: Barranquilla 0 wins, Real Cartagena 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barranquilla 0.9 xG, Real Cartagena 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barranquilla 19%, draw 19%, Real Cartagena 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Cartagena to win (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barranquilla 0–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barranquilla19%fair 5.13 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @3.75
Real Cartagena62%fair 1.62 · @1.50
2.65Expected goals
0.85Barranquilla xG
1.80Real Cartagena xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Barranquilla 0.9 – 1.8 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cartagena to win ✗62%1.621.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.65
Draw no betReal Cartagena (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapBarranquilla +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreReal Cartagena to score first63%1.59–
Half-time resultReal Cartagena ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Cartagena / FT Real Cartagena ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Barranquilla – last 6

LLWDDL
22 Octvs America de Cali0–4L
20 Oct@ Envigado0–1L
11 Octvs Quindio4–1W
7 Oct@ Leones FC1–1D
4 Octvs Millonarios1–1D
27 Sepvs Real Cundinamarca0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Real Cartagena – last 6

WDDLDD
20 Octvs Patriotas3–0W
16 Oct@ Quindio1–1D
8 Oct@ Depor FC2–2D
4 Octvs Popayan2–3L
30 Sep@ Union Magdalena1–1D
22 Sepvs Envigado0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 May 2026Real Cartagena v Barranquilla2–1
27 Apr 2026Barranquilla v Real Cartagena0–0
Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

Our pick is Real Cartagena to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

On our numbers Barranquilla have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Real Cartagena 62%.

How many goals will there be in Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Barranquilla 0–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena?

Barranquilla vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romelio Martinez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.