Leones FC vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Leones FC v Orsomarso in the Primera B, played at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leones FC, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Santander, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Orsomarso, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bogota FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Leones FC 2–0 Orsomarso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 1.0 xG, Orsomarso 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 39%, draw 24%, Orsomarso 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 1–1 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.88
Orsomarso37%fair 2.72 · @2.60
1.98Expected goals
1.01Leones FC xG
0.97Orsomarso xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.0 – 1.0 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orsomarso 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Orsomarso?
Leones FC vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
