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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Magdalena v Depor FC: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio La Independencia
1–0
FT
Union Magdalena 67%Draw 18%Depor FC 15% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.63
67%
Betarazi pick

Union Magdalena to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultUnion Magdalena to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.25

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Primera B brings Union Magdalena against Depor FC at Estadio La Independencia. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, Union Magdalena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Depor FC are 11th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Union Magdalena, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Internacional Palmira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Depor FC, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Quindio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Union Magdalena, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Depor FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Magdalena 1.8 xG, Depor FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Magdalena 67%, draw 18%, Depor FC 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Union Magdalena to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Magdalena 1–0 Depor FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Magdalena67%fair 1.49 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.80
Depor FC15%fair 6.89 · @10.00
2.41Expected goals
1.78Union Magdalena xG
0.63Depor FC xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Union Magdalena 1.8 – 0.6 Depor FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Magdalena to win ✓67%1.491.25
Double chanceUnion Magdalena or draw ✓85%1.171.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.67
Draw no betUnion Magdalena (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapUnion Magdalena -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreUnion Magdalena to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultUnion Magdalena ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Magdalena / FT Union Magdalena ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.25–

Recent results

Union Magdalena – last 6

WDDDWD
19 Oct@ Internacional Palmira1–0W
15 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–1D
11 Octvs Leones FC2–2D
7 Oct@ Popayan1–1D
3 Oct@ Real Santander3–1W
30 Sepvs Real Cartagena1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Depor FC – last 6

LWDLLL
20 Octvs Quindio0–1L
16 Oct@ Popayan1–0W
8 Octvs Real Cartagena2–2D
2 Octvs Real Cundinamarca1–2L
27 Sep@ Envigado0–3L
22 Sepvs Tigres FC0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Union Magdalena and Depor FC.

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

Our pick is Union Magdalena to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

On our numbers Union Magdalena have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Depor FC 15%.

How many goals will there be in Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

Our predicted score is Union Magdalena 1–0 Depor FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Union Magdalena vs Depor FC?

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.