Bogota FC 60%Draw 23%Real Santander 16%Expected goals 1.47 – 0.58
84%
Betarazi pick
Bogota FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBogota FC to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceBogota FC or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Bogota FC vs Real Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bogota FC welcome Real Santander to Estadio Metropolitano de Techo for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 24 October (21:30 WAT). In the table, Bogota FC are 10th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Real Santander are 9th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bogota FC, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orsomarso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Santander, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leones FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bogota FC 1.5 xG, Real Santander 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bogota FC 60%, draw 23%, Real Santander 16%.
Lower-risk option: Bogota FC or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Bogota FC to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bogota FC or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bogota FC 1–0 Real Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bogota FC60%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.20
Real Santander16%fair 6.21 · @3.40
2.05Expected goals
1.47Bogota FC xG
0.58Real Santander xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bogota FC 1.5 – 0.6 Real Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bogota FC to win✗
60%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Bogota FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.65
Draw no bet
Bogota FC (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Real Santander +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Bogota FC to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bogota FC / FT Bogota FC✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.39
–
Recent results
Bogota FC – last 6
WDDDLW
19 Oct
@ Orsomarso
1–0
W
14 Oct
@ Real Cundinamarca
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Patriotas
0–0
D
5 Oct
vs Envigado
3–3
D
29 Sep
@ Quindio
0–1
L
21 Sep
vs Barranquilla
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Santander – last 6
WDWLDD
19 Oct
vs Leones FC
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Envigado
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Tigres FC
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bogota FC and Real Santander.
What is the prediction for Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
Our pick is Bogota FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
On our numbers Bogota FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Santander 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
Our predicted score is Bogota FC 1–0 Real Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bogota FC vs Real Santander?
Bogota FC vs Real Santander (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
