Inter 72%Draw 17%Monza 11%Expected goals 2.27 – 0.75
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInter to win ✓72% · @1.20
Double chanceInter or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Inter vs Monza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Inter v Monza in the Serie A. In the table, Inter are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Monza are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Inter, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Betis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Monza, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Avellino, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 2.3 xG, Monza 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 72%, draw 17%, Monza 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 2–0 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @5.80
Monza11%fair 9.12 · @15.50
3.02Expected goals
2.27Inter xG
0.75Monza xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Inter 2.3 – 0.8 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Inter (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Inter -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Inter to score first
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Inter – last 6
WWDDWD
15 Aug
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventus
2–1
W
5 Aug
@ AC Milan
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Manchester City
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
2–1
W
17 May
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
WDLWWL
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
4–3
W
29 May
vs Catanzaro
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Monza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Inter vs Monza?
On our numbers Inter have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Monza 11%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Monza?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–0 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Monza?
Inter vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
