Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 2.94 – our chance 43% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCagliari to win ✓43% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22
Parma vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Serie A brings Parma against Cagliari at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Parma, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Catania, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cagliari, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arezzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cagliari, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Parma.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Parma 1–1 Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.0 xG, Cagliari 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 32%, draw 24%, Cagliari 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Cagliari to win @2.94 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma32%fair 3.09 · @2.48
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.05
Cagliari43%fair 2.30 · @2.94
2.26Expected goals
1.02Parma xG
1.24Cagliari xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Parma 1.0 – 1.2 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Parma vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Parma have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cagliari 43%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Cagliari?
Parma vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
