Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Como to win @ 1.81 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✗61% · @1.81
Double chanceComo or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Udinese vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Como travel to face Udinese on Saturday 22 August in the Serie A, with Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Udinese are 20th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Como are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Udinese, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Padova, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Como, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Liverpool, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Udinese.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Udinese 0–0 Como.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Udinese 0.7 xG, Como 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Udinese 13%, draw 25%, Como 61%.
Lower-risk option: Como or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Como to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Como or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Udinese 0–1 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Udinese13%fair 7.46 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.45
Como61%fair 1.63 · @1.81
2.47Expected goals
0.71Udinese xG
1.76Como xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Udinese 0.7 – 1.8 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Como or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Udinese vs Como?
On our numbers Udinese have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 61%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Como?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Como?
Our predicted score is Udinese 0–1 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Como?
Udinese vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
