AC Milan 60%Draw 22%Bologna 18%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.82
60%
Betarazi pick
AC Milan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultAC Milan to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
AC Milan vs Bologna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bologna travel to face AC Milan on Wednesday 28 October in the Serie A, with San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, AC Milan are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Bologna are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
AC Milan, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Udinese, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bologna, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cagliari, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AC Milan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Bologna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Milan 1.7 xG, Bologna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Milan 60%, draw 22%, Bologna 18%.
Lower-risk option: AC Milan or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AC Milan to win (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Milan 1–0 Bologna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Milan60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Bologna18%fair 5.62 · @4.60
2.56Expected goals
1.74AC Milan xG
0.82Bologna xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: AC Milan 1.7 – 0.8 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Milan to win✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
AC Milan or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
AC Milan (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Bologna +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
AC Milan to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
AC Milan ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Milan / FT AC Milan✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
AC Milan – last 6
WLWWDW
25 Oct
@ Udinese
2–0
W
22 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Atalanta
3–2
W
15 Oct
@ Red Bull Salzburg
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Lecce
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bologna – last 6
WLWDLD
24 Oct
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Inter
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Lecce
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Torino
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Napoli
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Sassuolo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Milan and Bologna.
Our pick is AC Milan to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?
On our numbers AC Milan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bologna 18%.
How many goals will there be in AC Milan vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Milan vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is AC Milan 1–0 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AC Milan vs Bologna?
AC Milan vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
