Value bet: Udinese to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUdinese to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Parma vs Udinese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Udinese travel to face Parma on Wednesday 28 October in the Serie A, with Ennio Tardini the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Udinese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lazio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Udinese, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AC Milan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Parma, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Udinese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.4 xG, Udinese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 35%, draw 24%, Udinese 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Udinese to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Udinese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Udinese41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
2.94Expected goals
1.41Parma xG
1.53Udinese xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Parma 1.4 – 1.5 Udinese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✗
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Udinese (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Parma +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Udinese to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LLLWLD
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Monza
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Udinese – last 6
LLLDLL
25 Oct
vs AC Milan
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Lecce
0–3
L
12 Oct
@ Torino
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Sep
@ Inter
3–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Udinese.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
On our numbers Parma have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Udinese 41%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Udinese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Udinese?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Udinese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Udinese?
Parma vs Udinese (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
