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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Genoa v Juventus: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Italy · Luigi Ferraris

Genoa

WLWLL
2–0
FT
Genoa 13%Draw 25%Juventus 62% Expected goals 0.66 – 1.72
62%
Betarazi pick

Juventus to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventus to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Genoa vs Juventus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventus travel to face Genoa on Wednesday 28 October in the Serie A, with Luigi Ferraris the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Juventus are 7th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Genoa, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Venezia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Juventus, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lecce, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Juventus 2–0 Genoa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 0.7 xG, Juventus 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 13%, draw 25%, Juventus 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Juventus or draw (87%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventus to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 0–1 Juventus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Genoa13%fair 7.67 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Juventus62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
2.38Expected goals
0.66Genoa xG
1.72Juventus xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%

From our goals model: Genoa 0.7 – 1.7 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventus to win ✗62%1.611.67
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✗87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.95 ▲
Draw no betJuventus (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapJuventus -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreJuventus to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultJuventus ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventus / FT Juventus ✗39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Genoa – last 6

WLWLLW
25 Octvs Venezia1–0W
17 Oct@ AS Roma0–2L
10 Octvs Fiorentina2–1W
2 Oct@ Rapid0–2L
20 Sep@ Parma1–2L
15 Sepvs Sudtirol1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Juventus – last 6

WDLWDL
25 Oct@ Lecce2–0W
22 Octvs Rennes2–2D
18 Octvs Lazio0–3L
15 Oct@ Celta Vigo2–1W
11 Oct@ Cagliari1–1D
2 Octvs Cremonese0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Juventus v Genoa2–0
Genoa vs Juventus head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lazio11920+1629
2Inter11911+1528
3AS Roma11830+2127
4AC Milan11731+1024
5Como11722+823
6Frosinone11623+920
7Juventus11533+318
8Bologna11524+217
9Cagliari11515-516
10Napoli11434+415
11Torino11425-214
12Atalanta11425-314
13Genoa11416-513
14Lecce11317-1010
15Fiorentina11236-89
16Parma11227-88
17Sassuolo11227-138
18Monza11218-87
19Venezia11209-136
20Udinese11128-135

More Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genoa vs Juventus?

Our pick is Juventus to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?

On our numbers Genoa have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventus 62%.

How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Juventus?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Juventus?

Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Genoa vs Juventus?

Genoa vs Juventus (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.